Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.549005 14.427819 16.431402 18.720397 21.256199 23.972547 27.095325
2025-02-09 10.076660 12.528783 15.302044 18.648062 22.551887 26.938563 32.215383
2025-02-16 8.005234 10.673000 13.849899 17.865958 22.758199 28.473871 35.602261
2025-02-23 6.717201 9.528061 13.029922 17.636911 23.455442 30.474157 39.486564
2025-03-02 5.630041 8.470627 12.162703 17.201407 23.776103 31.935279 42.682757
2025-03-09 4.853633 7.712816 11.576219 17.025569 24.344098 33.653801 46.188895
2025-03-16 4.137408 6.942427 10.880239 16.614478 24.529838 34.835319 48.996809
2025-03-23 3.689807 6.501899 10.586007 16.701426 25.345022 36.823472 52.870188
2025-03-30 3.267085 6.045358 10.218009 16.637815 25.920140 38.480663 56.326492
2025-04-06 2.967095 5.744189 10.045143 16.826332 26.831799 40.597334 60.434209
2025-04-13 2.701963 5.467461 9.879753 17.001136 27.711625 42.677841 64.530788
2025-04-20 2.531618 5.330450 9.915707 17.470020 29.022476 45.383121 69.543330
2025-04-27 2.346214 5.149475 9.869552 17.811309 30.162996 47.892954 74.372280
2025-05-04 2.116404 4.860601 9.620206 17.810507 30.778238 49.657751 78.187588
2025-05-11 1.790459 4.348886 8.949740 17.083960 30.239505 49.714837 79.553428
2025-05-18 1.585901 4.046412 8.612387 16.874075 30.478292 50.901868 82.554647
2025-05-25 1.376210 3.704251 8.172540 16.458155 30.361275 51.539478 84.753113
2025-06-01 1.223486 3.461116 7.891048 16.290227 30.624251 52.743513 87.798717
2025-06-08 1.061088 3.172188 7.496144 15.894100 30.488066 53.320744 89.909872
2025-06-15 0.969393 3.032613 7.376765 15.978342 31.142799 55.127068 93.897112
2025-06-22 0.871960 2.864633 7.185583 15.917057 31.543776 56.539445 97.308910
2025-06-29 0.806805 2.767372 7.129171 16.099106 32.360319 58.621302 101.781161
2025-07-06 0.746068 2.672436 7.068976 16.267899 33.155200 60.682554 106.257678